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"Bowling for Fascism: Social Capital and the Rise of the Nazi Party in Interwar Germany" With Shanker Satyanath and Nico Voigtländer. This version: 2013, NBER wp 19201. |
"Leverage and Beliefs: Personal Experience and Risk Taking in the Amsterdam Repo Market, 1770-1775" With Peter Koudijs (forthcoming). |
"Numeracy and the Impact of High Food Prices in Industrializing Britain, 1780-1850" With Jörg Baten and Dorothee Crayen. Review of Economics and Statistics , 2014 (forthcoming). |
"How the West ‘Invented’ Fertility Restriction" With Nico Voigtländer. American Economic Review , 103(6): 2227–2264. |
"The Three Horsemen of Riches: Plague, War and Urbanization in Early Modern Europe" With Nico Voigtländer. Review of Economic Studies, 80: 774-811. |
"Persecution Perpetuated: The Medieval Origins of Anti-Semitic Violence in Nazi Germany" With Nico Voigtländer. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 127(3): 1339-1392. |
"Lending to the Borrower from Hell: Debt and Default in the Age of Philip II, 1556-1598" With Mauricio Drelichman. Economic Journal, 121(557): 1205-1227 (lead article). |
"Serial Defaults, Serial Profits: Returns to Sovereign Lending in Habsburg Spain, 1566-1600" With Mauricio Drelichman. Explorations in Economic History, 48(1): 1-19 (lead article). |
"The Sustainable Debts of Philip II: A Reconstruction of Castile’s Fiscal Position, 1566-1596" With Mauricio Drelichman. Journal of Economic History, 70(4): 813-42. |
"Betting on Hitler: The Value of Political Connections in Nazi Germany" With Thomas Ferguson. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 123(1): 101–137. |
"Interest Rate Restrictions in a Natural Experiment: Loan Allocation and the Change in the Usury Laws in 1714" With Peter Temin. Economic Journal, 118 (March): 743-58. |
"Private Borrowing During the Financial Revolution: Hoare’s Bank and its Customers, 1702-1724" With Peter Temin. Economic History Review, 61(3): 541-64 (lead article). |
"Why England? Demographic Factors, Structural Change and Physical Capital Accumulation during the Industrial Revolution" With Nico Voigtlaender. Journal of Economic Growth, 11(4): 319-61. |
"Riding the South Sea Bubble" With Peter Temin. American Economic Review, 94(5): 1654-68. |
"With a Bang, Not a Whimper: Pricking Germany's "Stockmarket Bubble" in 1927 and the Slide into Depression" Journal of Economic History, 63(1): 65-99. |
"Factor Prices and Productivity Growth during the British Industrial Revolution" With Pol Antràs. Explorations in Economic History, 40(1): 52-77. |
"The Longest Years – New Estimates of Labour Input in Britain, 1760-1830" Journal of Economic History, 61(4):1065-82. |
"Destined for Deprivation? Intergenerational Poverty Traps in Eighteenth-Century Britain" With Sara Horrell and Jane Humphries. Explorations in Economic History, 38(3): 339-65. |
"Highway to Hitler" With Nico Voigtländer. This version: 2015. Download (PDF, 795 KB) (PDF, 1 MB) |
"Recreating the South Sea Bubble: Evidence from an Experiment in Financial History" With Giovanni Giusti and Charles Noussair. This version: 2013. |
"Debt Into Growth: Why the Country that Borrowed the Most Industrialized First" With Jaume Ventura. This version: 2013. |
"Exorcizing Hitler: Denazification and Anti-Semitism in Germany, 1933-2006" With Nico Voigtländer. This version: 2013, CEPR discussion paper 8935. |
"Austerity and Anarchy: Budget Cuts and Social Unrest in Europe, 1919-2009" With Jacopo Ponticelli. This version: 2011, CEPR discussion paper 8513. revised October 2012. |
"State Capacity and Military Conflict" With Nicola Gennaioli. This version: 2011, CEPR discussion paper 8699. revised October 2012. |
"Spinning Welfare: The Gains from Process Innovation in Cotton and Car Production" With Tim Leunig. This version: 2011, LSE-CEP wp. |
"Sweet Diversity: Colonial Goods and the Rise of European Living Standards after 1492" With Jonathan Hersh. This version: 2009, CEPR discussion paper 7286, revised June 2011. |
"Political Risk and Stock Price Volatility: Evidence from the Interwar Period" This version: 2007, MIT working paper, February 2002, revised March 2007. |
"Lending to the Borrower from Hell: Debt, Taxes, and Default in the Age of Philip II"
With Mauricio Drelichman. Princeton: Princeton University Press, forthcoming. |
"Prometheus Shackled: Goldsmith Banks and England’s Financial Revolution after 1700"
With Peter Temin. Oxford/New York: Oxford University Press, 2013. |
"Time and Work in England, 1750-1830"
Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2001. |
"Invasion der Heuschrecken. Intriguen – Machtkämpfe - Marktmanipulation"
With Werner Seifert. Berlin: ECON, 2006. |
"Krise des Kapitalismus und Neuorientierung der Wirtschaftspolitik "
With Werner Seifert. Frankfurt: Deutsche Börse, 2002. |
"Performance ist kein Schicksal"
With Markus Habbel et al. Frankfurt: Campus, 2001. |
"European Capital Markets"
With Werner Seifert et al. Houndmills: Macmillan-Palgrave, 2000. |
"Aktie, Arbeit, Aufschwung"
With Frank Mattern et al. Houndmills: Frankfurt: Campus, 1997. |
"Debt, Default and Empire: State Capacity and Economic Development in England and Spain in the Early Modern Period"
Economic History Review, forthcoming. |
"Funding Empire: Risk, Diversification and the Underwriting of Early Modern Sovereign Loans"
With Mauricio Drelichman. Festschrift for Joel Mokyr, forthcoming. |
"Gifts of Mars: Warfare and Europe’s Early Rise to Riches"
With Nico Voigtländer. Journal of Economic Perspectives 27(4), forthcoming. |
"Married to Intolerance: Attitudes Towards Intermarriage in Germany, 1900-2006"
American Economic Review. Papers and Proceedings 103(3): 1-9, 2013. |
"Tightening Tensions - Fiscal Policy and Civil Unrest in Eleven South American Countries, 1937-1995"
in: Luis Cespedes, Jordi Galí (eds.) Fiscal Policy and Macroeconomic Performance. Santiago: Central Bank of Chile, 2012. |
"Blowing Early Bubbles – Incentives for Exuberance in the South Sea and Mississippi Bubbles"
in: William N. Goetzmann, Catherine Labio, K. Geert Rouwenhorst, and Timothy Young (eds.) The Great Mirror of Folly: Finance, Culture, and the Crash of 1720. Santiago: , New Haven: Yale University Press, 2011. |
"Hoare’s Bank in the Eighteenth Century"
in: Laura Cruz and Joel Mokyr (eds.) The Birth of Modern Europe: Culture and Economy, 1400-1800; Essays in Honor of Jan de Vries. Leiden/Boston: Brill, 2010. |
"Understanding Growth in Early Modern Europe"
With Joel Mokyr. in: Broadberry, Stephen and Kevin O’ Rourke (ed.) The Cambridge Economic History of Europe. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2010. |
"Free Flows, Limited Diversification: Openness and the Fall and Rise of Stock Market Correlations, 1890-2001"
With Denis Quinn. NBER-ISOM Macro Annual 2009, vol. 6: 7-39 (lead article), 2010. |
"Malthusian Dynamism and the Rise of Europe: Make War, not Love"
With Nico Voigtländer. American Economic Review. Papers and Proceedings 99(2): 248-54, 2009. |
"Institutions and the Resource Curse in Early Modern Spain"
With Mauricio Drelichman. in: Helpman, Elhanan (ed) Institutions and Economic Performance. Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 2008. |
"A Century of Global Equity Market Correlations"
With Dennis Quinn. American Economic Review. Papers and Proceedings 98(2): 535–40, 2008. |
"Debt Sustainability in Historical Perspective"
With Mauricio Drelichman. Journal of the European Economic Association. Paper and Proceedings 6(2-3): 657-67, 2008. |
"South Sea Bubble"
Entry for Steve Durlauf and L. Blume, (eds.) The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2007. |
"Comment on Oxley’s “Seat of Death and Terror”"
With Tim Leunig. Economic History Review, 2006. |
"Banking as an Emerging Technology: Hoare’s Bank 1702-1724"
With Peter Temin. Financial History Review 13(2): 149-78, 2006. |
"Capital Controls in Postwar Europe"
CREI Opuscle No. 14 [in English, Castilian, and Catalan], 2004. |
"Editors’ Introduction: Symposium on Capital Controls"
With Barry Eichengreen. in: Barry Eichengreen, Hans-Joachim Voth (eds.) Controlling Global Capital. Special issue of the International Journal of Finance and Economics, 2003. |
"Convertibility, Currency Controls and the Cost of Capital in Western Europe"
in: Barry Eichengreen, Hans-Joachim Voth (eds.) Controlling Global Capital. Special issue of the International Journal of Finance and Economics, 2003. |
"Labor Time"
in: Joel Mokyr. (ed.) Oxford Encyclopedia of Economic History. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2003. |
"Living Standards and Urban Disamenities"
in: R. Floud, P. Johnson (eds.) Cambridge Economic History of Britain, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2003. |
"Living Standards During the Industrial Revolution: An Economists’ Guide"
American Economic Review. Papers and Proceedings 93(2): 221-226, 2003. |
"Height and the High Life – What Future for a Tall Story?"
With Tim Leunig. in: P. David, M. Thomas (eds.) Economic Challenges of the 21st Century. British Academy, 2002. |
"The Zollverein and the Bid for Economic Supremacy"
in: P. Dwyer (ed.) Modern Prussian History, 1830-1947. London: Longman, 2001. |
"Smallpox Really Did Reduce Height: A Reply to Razzell"
With Tim Leunig. Economic History Review 54, 2001. |
"Economic History and the Messiness of Life"
in: P. Hudson (ed.) Living Economic and Social History. Glasgow, 2001. |
"The Grapes of War: Danish Shipping to the Mediterranean, 1750-1806"
With Dan Anderson. Scandinavian Economic History Review 48: 5-27, 2000. |
"German Banking and the Impact of the First World War"
in: C. Wrigley (ed.) The First World War and the International Economy. London: Edward Elgar, 2000. |
"Smallpox Did Reduce Height: Reply to Our Critics"
With Tim Leunig. Economic History Review 51, 1998. |
"Work and the Sirens of Consumption in 18C London"
in: M. Bianchi (ed.) The Active Consumer. Novelty and Surprise in Consumer Choice. London: Routledge, 1998. |
"Stature and Relative Deprivation: Fatherless Children in Early Industrial Britain"
With Jane Humphries, Sara Horrell. Continuity and Change 13: 73-115, 1998. |
"Time Use in Eighteenth Century London: Some Evidence from the Old Bailey"
Dissertation Summary. Journal of Economic History 57, 1997. |
"Infant Mortality during the First World War"
Annales de Démographie Historique: 291-307, 1995. |
"Work, Height, and Nutrition: Recasting the 'Austrian Model'"
Journal of Interdisciplinary History 26: 627-636, 1995. |
"Did Neutrality Pay? Danish Shipping in the Mediterranean, 1749-1790"
With D. Andersen. in: A. Monrad-Møller (ed.) Folk og Erhverv. Festschrift for Hans-Christian Johansen. Odense, 1995. |
"Seasonality of Conceptions as a Source for Historical Time-Budget Analysis: Tracing the Disappearance of Holy Days in Early Modern England"
Historical Methods 27, 1994. |
"Wages, Investment and the Fate of the Weimar Republic: A Long-Term Perspective"
German History 11: 265-92, 1994. |
"Investitionen in den "Goldenen Jahren" der Weimarer Republik"
Zeitschrift für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften 113, 1993. |